3/1/09 – Pythagorean Standings

Time to introduce the Pythagorean Standings:

  Team Runs Scored Runs Allowed Pyth % Delta
1 Ohio State 67 42 0.718 -0.282
2 Illinois 47 31 0.697 -0.136
3 Michigan. 73 58 0.613 -0.165
4 Indiana 38 31 0.600 0.000
5 Minnesota 40 35 0.566 -0.148
6 Purdue 42 45 0.466 0.132
7 Michigan St 23 37 0.279 0.112
8 Penn State 25 42 0.262 -0.024
9 Northwestern 29 52 0.237 -0.013
10 Iowa 22 58 0.126 -0.041

 

More details can be found here but basically the Pytagorean Standings are what the league standings would look like if the teams’ winning percentages mapped to what Bill James’ Pythagorean Expectation formula would indicate. The formula calculates your expected winning percentage based on the number of runs that you score and that you give up.

In the chart, I list the teams by their Pythagorean Expectation value and include their actual winning percentage and the delta between actual and expected.

You can think of the ranking as a form of a power ranking for the Big Ten Teams.

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