Dissecting the YSU Game (Part III: Player Contribution)

Since we have now broken down every play and have ranked it’s potential contribution, it seems only logical to sum those contributions up across the players. This will give us a sense of how well a player performed during the course of the entire game. For PSU, here’s the sum totals of all the players [...]

Dissecting the YSU game (Part II – Win Contribution)

In Part I of my Youngstown State analysis, I broke the game down into its 114 discrete plays and attached a measurement to each play. That measurement is the win expectancy for one of the teams following the play (note the win expectancy of the two teams always adds up to 100% so when I [...]

Dissecting the Youngstown State game (Part I: Win Expectancy)

Penn State’s bottom of the ninth against Youngstown was so extraordinary that I’d like to take a few minutes to analyze it. For those you didn’t see or hear the game, the gist of it is that YSU had built a four run lead going into the bottom of the ninth but PSU came back [...]